Texas Early Voting Ends at Nearly 6.9 Million Ballots, and Voters With No Primary History Are Now the Largest Group
Theo Elections tracked 6,897,400 early ballots in Texas — about 25 percent more than 2022 — and the share of early voters with no recent primary history jumped nine points to 36.9 percent, the largest single group.
Texas closed early voting on Friday with an electorate that is both bigger and harder to classify than the one that showed up four years ago, according to the Theo Elections comparison read in full this cycle. Theo tracked 6,897,400 early ballots statewide by the end of voting on Friday, October 30 — roughly 1.4 million more than the 5,497,479 it recorded in the 2022 general election, an increase of about 25 percent.
The composition moved more than the total. Voters with no recent Democratic or Republican primary history rose from 27.9 percent of the early electorate in 2022 to 36.9 percent in 2026 — about 2.55 million people, and now the largest single group. Over the same span, the Republican-primary-only share fell from 39.0 percent to 30.9 percent, while the Democratic-primary-only share barely moved, from 30.0 percent to 29.6 percent.
The desk carries the source's own cautions with the numbers: Texas does not register voters by party, primary history is not a vote choice, and a voter with no recent primary history may hold strong preferences either way. The Secretary of State also cautions that early-voting totals are unofficial and can change as counties submit updates, so the 6.9 million figure is a current snapshot, not a certified final total. What is set is the shape of the remaining contest: the early electorate is largely cast, and Election Day turnout on Tuesday, November 3, is the final piece.
